Showing posts with label congress. Show all posts
Showing posts with label congress. Show all posts

Sunday, July 27, 2008

To Surge or Not to Surge





Sunni Arab politicians ended a yearlong boycott of the Iraqi Parliament. This is a major breakthrough for reconciliation in Iraq. Despite the huge significance of this event, it occurred with little notice.

The boycott was a reaction of the Sunnis to the sentiment of their leadership that the government was not addressing the violence of Shiite militias. A solution was implemented when the Iraqi government launched a military operation against the Shiite Mahdi Army in the wake of the vast military successes of the U.S. Troop Surge. While the government offensive met with some initial setbacks in the city of Basra, the operation ultimately turned out to be a decisive victory.

So despite the findings of the Iraq Study Group (ISG), military operations like the Surge and recent operations against the Mahdi Army have led to serious political gains in addition to security. A report by the ISG that was released in December of 2006 stated the following, which was widely accepted as conventional wisdom at the time:

“Sustained increases in U.S. troop levels would not solve the fundamental cause of violence in Iraq, which is the absence of national reconciliation.”

Back in January of 2007 current presidential candidate Barack Obama went even farther than the report and insisted that sending additional troops to Iraq would actually increase sectarian violence. Obama refused to acknowledge the Surge’s success, even as the evidence was piling up. Powerline has an excellent post that tracks the history of Obama’s stubborn adherence to his disinformation agenda:

Obama said, on January 10, 2007, on MSNBC:

“I am not persuaded that 20,000 additional troops in Iraq is going to solve the sectarian violence there. In fact, I think it will do the reverse.”

On January 14, 2007, on Face the Nation, he said:

“We cannot impose a military solution on what has effectively become a civil war. And until we acknowledge that reality - we can send 15,000 more troops, 20,000 more troops, 30,000 more troops, I don’t know any expert on the region or any military officer that I’ve spoken to privately that believes that is going to make a substantial difference on the situation on the ground.”

(What kind of experts was he talking to?)

On March 19, 2007, on the Larry King show, he said:

“[E]ven those who are supporting - but here’s the thing, Larry - even those who support the escalation have acknowledged that 20,000, 30,000, even 40,000 more troops placed temporarily in places like Baghdad are not going to make a long-term difference.”

On May 25, 2007, in a speech to the Coalition Of Black Trade Unionists Convention, Obama said:

“And what I know is that what our troops deserve is not just rhetoric, they deserve a new plan. Governor Romney and Senator McCain clearly believe that the course that we’re on in Iraq is working, I do not.”

On July 18, 2007, on the Today show, he said:

“My assessment is that the surge has not worked and we will not see a different report eight weeks from now.”

On November 11, 2007, two months after General David Petraeus told Congress that the surge was working, Obama doubled down, saying that the administration’s new strategy was making the situation in Iraq worse:

“Finally, in 2006-2007, we started to see that, even after an election, George Bush continued to want to pursue a course that didn’t withdraw troops from Iraq but actually doubled them and initiated a surge and at that stage I said very clearly, not only have we not seen improvements, but we’re actually worsening, potentially, a situation there.”

…If we had listened to Barack Obama, all U.S. combat forces would have left Iraq in a phased withdrawal that would have began on May 1, 2007. So the Surge would have been crippled before it fully got off the ground on June 15, 2007.

When Obama introduced a failed piece of legislation entitled, “The Iraq War De-escalation Act of 2007”, his office had already declared the Surge a failure before it even began.

“The Obama plan offers a responsible yet effective alternative to the President’s failed policy of escalation.”

It brings to mind the ear screeching protests of the Senate Majority Leader, Harry Reid, who stated; “I believe ... that this war is lost, and this surge is not accomplishing anything, as is shown by the extreme violence in Iraq this week.” Reid’s premature declaration came almost two months before Surge operations would fully get under way.

A vital component in any decision making process is to compute your findings based on reliable data. By declaring the Surge a failure before it officially began, Harry Reid and Barack Obama showed an eagerness to rush to a hasty judgment based on either on a critical lack of analytical skills or political expediency.

While we should give them some benefit of the doubt that they could be honest morons instead of deceitful politicians, I just can’t see these people reaching such high places without the ability to think analytically on such a basic level. The facts reveal that it is much more likely that they just view the Iraq conflict through the narrow prism of political gain.

How can we believe someone who lies so effortlessly as Barack Obama does? Take a look at the quotes from Powerline above. There is a long paper trail that documents Obama’s continual claims that the Surge would fail to reduce violence and actually make it worse. Then read his more recent statement from January of 2008 in which Obama whitewashed his previous stance;

“Now, I had no doubt, and I said at the time, when I opposed the surge, that given how wonderfully our troops perform, if we place 30,000 more troops in there, then we would see an improvement in the security situation and we would see a reduction in the violence.”

Obama’s aborted visit to the Landstuhl Regional Medical Center in Germany during his world campaign tour sheds a lot of light on the subject. When the Pentagon told Obama that he couldn’t bring his campaign staff with him while visiting the medical center, he just bowed out. Obama was only interested in using this visit as a campaign event although the Defense Department has a directive prohibiting “the use of military installations for campaign events or speeches”. What a typical politician.

Lets not forget the Democratic Party’s rough treatment of our greatest general, David Petraeus. In the circus surrounding his testimony to Congress on the progress of the Surge in September 2007, the Democratic Party issued a storm of disinformation:

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid stated the following about General Petraeus;

“He has made a number of statements over the years that have not proven to be factual. I have every belief that this good man will give us what he feels is the right thing to do in his report, but it’s not his report anymore. It’s Bush’s report.”

Senator Dick Durbin declared;

“By carefully manipulating the statistics, the Bush-Petraeus report will try to persuade us that violence in Iraq is decreasing and thus the surge is working. Even if the figures were right, the conclusion is wrong.”

Representative Rahm Emanuel, claimed;

“Instead of a new strategy for Iraq, the Bush administration is cherry-picking the data to support their political objectives and preparing a report that will offer another defense of the president’s strategy. We don’t need a report that wins the Nobel Prize for creative statistics or the Pulitzer for fiction.”

Representative Robert Wexler grilled General Petraeus during his testimony;

“In your testimony today, you claim that the surge is working and that you need more time. With all due respect, General, among unbiased, nonpartisan experts, the consensus is stark. The surge has failed, based on most parameters… Cherry-picking statistics or selectively massaging information will not change the basic truth.”

Then there was Senator Hillary Clinton’s classic accusation against General Petraeus;

“Despite what I view as your rather extraordinary efforts in your testimony both yesterday and today, I think that the reports that you provide to us really require the willing suspension of disbelief.

In any of the metrics that have been referenced in your many hours of testimony, any fair reading of the advantages and disadvantages accruing post-surge, in my view, end up on the downside.”


The Democratic Party has done everything it can to force a retreat and it failed. Instead of relying on defeatism, we implemented a military solution that made the difference when our intellectual elite said it wasn’t possible.



Eli Pariser, a spokesman for MoveOn.org, defended their anti-Petraeus debacle: “We stand by our ad — every major independent study and many major news organizations cast serious doubt on Petraeus’ claims”.

Thursday, June 26, 2008

Supply and Demands





Some of us remember how Congresswoman Maxine Waters threatened to socialize the American oil industry last month at a congressional hearing on high oil prices. She blurted out;

“…And guess what this liberal will be all about. This liberal will be all about Socializing… ahhhh ummm… (pause) will be about (pause) basically taking over and government running all of your companies.”

The idea of the takeover of the oil industry by an incompetent congresswoman is bad enough, but other Democratic Party hacks are playing hardball to hinder the ability of our Iraqi allies to sell oil. Democratic senator Charles E. Schumer sent a letter to Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice threatening retaliation if the government of Iraq issues modest contracts to four foreign oil companies. One is from the U.S. (Exxon Mobil), one is from the Netherlands (Shell), one is from France (Total) and the last is from Great Britain (BP).

This bizarre letter claims that awarding modest no-bid oil contracts to foreign oil companies will result in some sort of Armageddon… stating, “It is our fear that this action by the Iraqi government could further deepen political tensions in Iraq and put our service members in even greater danger”. So what is Schumer’s solution?… Unless he and his comrades get their way they threaten to further deepen political tensions by cutting off financing for unnamed programs in Iraq that they claim are not directly in support of American troops.

There aren’t many U.S. government funded programs in Iraq that are not in direct support of American troops. This is a war against terrorist guerillas that attack civilian infrastructure. Part of the reason that Iraq is producing more oil these days is because the terrorists have suffered many major defeats and their ability to attack civilian utilities has been hampered. A crucial tactic of Counter Insurgency operations is the usage of humanitarian projects to win over the local populous (something referred to as winning the “hearts and minds” of the population). Other efforts to help the local government and security forces are important as well.

That leads me to believe that this latest threat is just a projection of the Democratic Party’s desire to encourage instability in Iraq. Much like the Copperheads during the Civil War, the Democrats have done everything they can to hamper our ability to wage this war and instead focused on “bringing our troops home”... also known as “cutting and running”. These Copperheads even have the nerve to deride loyal American military officers as traitors and liars, while these soldiers put themselves at risk during a time of war.

The Democratic Party has focused its efforts on oil speculators as the cause of the recent upswing in oil prices. However, at this time there is no concrete evidence that the oil market is being manipulated by foul play. I have no problem with legislation that ensures the transparency of such speculating, but the Democratic Party is also proposing hostile legislation that will interfere with legitimate business practices. In effect they are legislating against a problem that they do not understand and may not even exist, because they have no evidence of such activity other than their own speculation.

Again, I agree that the possibility should be investigated and if the current high oil prices are proven to be the result of artificial price gauging by speculators, then we can legislate a solution. Yet the law of supply and demand shouldn’t be dismissed so lightly in favor of sentiment that has not progressed beyond the stage of conspiracy theories.

Rather than driving oil trading overseas to less regulated markets, we should enact legislation that will not exacerbate high oil prices. This means regulating intelligently by passing legislation aimed at a proven problem instead of using a shotgun to cure cancer.

Recent proposals to reduce fuel taxes make sense if we sincerely want to reduce gasoline prices. Europe is notorious for high fuel taxes and as a result many countries in the region pay twice the amount per gallon that Americans do. They have faced deadly riots and protests because of this. So even a small decrease in fuel taxes will help consumer confidence and will surely influence speculators if combined with the opening up of American oil drilling in restricted regions that are known to have huge untapped oil reserves.

Attacks by ruthless rebels on Nigerian oil installations recently drove up oil prices, as such attacks usually do. At its peak Nigeria had an output estimated at 2.5 million barrels per day (bpd). The country is Africa’s largest oil producer and is a founding member of OPEC. Here in the United States it is estimated that we have up to 2 million bpd that could be tapped from proposals to open up drilling in areas currently prohibited by legislation. Just like any trading market, psychological factors weigh in almost as strongly as the physical transactions that are being traded. So even though we will have to wait 10 years until oil production in these currently protected areas can begin, it will still have some effect on the market now (especially in combination with fuel tax breaks). Even more importantly, since it takes about 10 years to begin production, we’d better start now rather than waiting until the problem is worse.

Just in April an article from the Obama-worshipping blog, Daily Kos, was advocating the raising of gas taxes and attacking Hillary Clinton as an anti-progressive heretic for having a moderate idea (the summer tax holiday). This is a mainstream movement in the quasi-Socialist Democratic Party. A week after the failure of a recent climate tax bill, which over 20% of Democratic Party senators opposed, Obama and the Democratic Party leadership suffered another defeat when they pushed for a windfall profits tax on oil companies. Remember the deaths and riots happening in Europe? The Democratic Party wants that here.

No matter how high the price of gasoline gets, the Democratic Party continues its desire to increase taxes on the oil industry. Even last August the Democratic Party was pushing for $16 billion in taxes on the oil industry (this effort also thankfully failed). It is naïve to think that taxing the oil industry is going to result in lower prices yet Representative Tom Udall (D-NM) had the nerve to say, “This (bill) will save consumers money”. We have a working model for high oil industry taxation in Europe and that surely isn’t the case.

Instead of banning, taxing and penalizing the Democratic Party needs to learn good government practices. Oil industry profit margins are no larger than most industries and are actually modest compared to many. They, “average, at 8.3 cents for every dollar of sales, compared to the chemical industry’s 12.7 cents for every dollar of sales, the computer industry’s 13.7 cents and the pharmaceutical industry’s 18.4 cents for every dollar of sales”. It is the government that is the biggest profiteer from high oil prices. In 2005 the Tax Foundation reported that since 1980 oil companies “remitted more than $2.2 trillion in taxes, after adjusting for inflation, to federal and state governments”. You may recall that 1980 was the year that Congress was actually successful in slapping a windfall profit tax on the oil industry. This disaster forced “oil companies to reduce production of crude oil and increased our dependence on foreign oil by an estimated 8 to 16 percent”.

Offering more incentives and subsidies will be much more effective than heavy-handed tactics that do more harm than good. We cant afford such knee-jerk reactions which only results in restrictive legislation that does nothing but hamper business and creates the usual divisive politics that the Democratic Party is so good at.

The real problem lies in the developing world. China and India subsidize the sale of oil. This dramatically lowers the price of oil and gasoline in those countries and increases consumption at astronomical rates. Bob O’Brien, the online stocks editor at Barrons.com, stated;

“China is undergoing this economic boom and is effectively willing to pay any price. Just by the nature of the market, the product is going to seek out the end user that is willing to pay the most. And that dynamic is not going to change anytime soon.”

William Anderson hilariously characterizes the Democratic Party as “criminalizing higher oil and gasoline prices”.

He goes on to state, “When in doubt, Congress makes something a crime. Keep in mind that while they are first speaking of $5 million fines, ultimately they will be throwing people in prison for ‘economic crimes’, and ‘speculation’, which was the hallmark of the former Soviet Union.”

While his Libertarian tendency to exaggerate government abuse of power is a bit overboard, his conclusion is right on the money;

“…we have bluster, threats, and measure after measure that would further strangle and regulate production of oil and oil-related products. Congress always tells us that it knows best, but once again, we see nothing but economic ignorance from Washington’s finest. For now, they have been held back by a filibuster, but I fear that such a reprieve is only temporary - that Congress and the others in political power in this country will not be satisfied until they have fully destroyed the US economy and replaced it with something we thought would disappear when the Iron Curtain finally fell so many years ago.”

Tuesday, April 03, 2007

This is Getting Too Easy




Photo Opportunity of the Year

With President Bush fighting to fund our troops who are engaged in a combat and impeded by a Congress controlled by the Democratic Party - it wasn’t a good idea for the House Speaker to have this picture taken during her visit to Syria today.

Meanwhile the Senate Majority Leader, Harry Reid, has already threatened to cut off funding to our troops that are currently in combat. It is bad enough to play politics with our war effort, but to go against the wishes of the President and visit the capitol of a belligerent country like Syria is bizarre.

So what would possess an intelligent politician to pose for a photo-op like the picture above? We are in the middle of a war in which our enemies use the Islamic religion as a weapon and the Democratic Party is being accused of not being patriotic. Yet Pelosi poses with a scarf worn in modest Islamic fashion in the capitol of a regime that is hostile to the United States and has been accused of aiding our enemies.

Pelosi has been so swept up with the Democratic Party’s recent electoral victory that she has lost her common sense. Our new Prime Minister thinks that she will come back with Peace in Our Time!!!!!!!!!!

Link to Amboy Times Post

Link to TJs Anti-Contrarian Post

Link to Crank Files Post

Link to Its Curtains for You Post

Link to Mikes America Post